07/27/2022
Couple thoughts on the real estate market:
1. Total housing inventory registered at the end of June was 1.26 M units, an increase of 9.6% from May and a 2.4% rise from June 2021 (1.23 million).
2. Blackstone has put together over $30 billion in the past quarter for its 'real estate opportunistic fund', a possible indicator in the confidence in future real estate valuations ....and potential opportunity purchases?
3. As fewer people buy due to high home prices and interest rates, rental demand will rise. Construction of multifamily homes rose by 15% in June.
Prediction and reality: Home prices probably won't drop significantly enough to make them as affordable compared to the last year. Rates also most likely won't go back down to 3%. Rental rates will rise significantly due to more demand. Blackstone will buy more homes with their fund, and rent those homes with higher rates due to rental demand rising.
But, competitiveness has dropped in the housing market (for the most part), so buyers still looking to purchase may not face multiple offers, waving inspections, and covering appraisal gaps...which is a positive note for buyers.
Not the best picture for those renting, or those looking to buy, but it seems to be the reality at the moment.
Am I wrong? Would love to hear your thoughts as well....