11/20/2023
Let’s see a show of hands…👍…
Do you agree with this paradox…
“It’s a pretty terrible time to buy a house these days, which is why it’s a good time to buy a house.”-Insider Today (End)
So let’s try and unravel this apparent absurdity….
Yes, in many markets selling prices are still rising due to an imbalance of low for sale inventory while high level demand to buy.
In many other real estate markets those imbalances
are playing out in the opposite direction.
This ‘sluggish/off’ scenario factors into many sellers’ pricing strategy to be more flexible. Therefore if a buyer was to purchase at today’s higher rates but at a reduced selling price, they could wait until rates drop to refinance…as occurred for instance in the early 2000’s.
A double win…if they have the time and budget to wait it out.
BTW, talking about time and budget…
Many baby boomers are seeing their 30 year mortgages now being paid off. Probably refinanced over the years. And according to the NAR: “Baby boomers now make up 39% of home buyers – the most of any generation – an increase from 29% last year.”(End)
Surprised?
Overtime, interest rates will begin to lower…though probably not as fast nor as low as buyers would like to see…
With mortgage rates presently at over 7% the days of 3% or lower are way back in the rear view mirror.
As Barbara Corcoran stated recently, “The days of the 2%-3% interest rates are never going to come back. Forget about that. But they will come down.” (End)
So what will happen when interest rates finally begin to fall…
Buyers will think they’ve been thrown a lifeline when rates drop to 5% or even 6%…
But they will not react in a ‘vacuum’…they will not be alone…
There will be ‘pent up’ energy to buy similar to when the pandemic started to ease and buyers jumped back in…
Resulting in…
Sellers seeing more competition resulting in increase pricing…
Resulting in…
Buyers being pressured to look (fast), decide (faster), commit (fastest). And that within the specter of bidding wars and even more ‘Cash is King.’
As Redfin chief economist, Daryl Fairweather said,
“So buyers who remain persistent in the current market could end up finding good opportunities. Once mortgage rates pull back, there would probably only be a small period of improved affordability before prices jump”(End)
Insider concluded…
“So yes, the housing market may not be pretty right now, but maybe that’s a good thing.”(End)
Depending on a buyer’s motivation, timeframe and budget that may be more attractive than waiting when competition heats up raising the specter of those bidding wars and fatigue, frustration and angst. Or worse pressured into a buyer remorse situation.
In summation…
Look, as in compare and research property and analyze your current and future finances, before you
Leap and sit in your new dining room.
But wherever you find yourself…
Have and Enjoy a
Respectful Thanksgiving 🦃🍁