12/03/2024
Will rent growth lag wage growth? As we look towards 2025-26, we expect wages to outpace rent growth, with rents likely not returning to pre-COVID levels. Below are Jesse Lederman, CFA's insights!
American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) has recently outperformed Invitation Homes (INVH) thanks to stronger rent growth and less exposure to storm-related areas, among other reasons. However, AMH’s stock already reflects much of this success, in our view, trading at a roughly 10% premium on future cash flow, within the 98th percentile over the last decade. With both companies expecting similar cash flow growth (about 3%) in 2025, we recommend favoring INVH.
With acquisition activity seemingly loosening a bit of late, we expect investors to increasingly focus on REITs and their external growth potential in the coming years – though the recent increase in interest rates may dampen this optimism in the near term. Overall, if you are a REIT investor, 2025 promises to be an exciting year!
Gain more of our insights: https://lnkd.in/eCdS3nUU