06/19/2026
๐๐ก๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐๐ญ ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฅ๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ง ๐จ๐ฉ๐๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ญ๐ข๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐ฐ๐๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ
A significant volume of commercial real estate loans originated in 2021 and 2022 are now entering their maturity or refinance window.
Those loans were originated when interest rates were near zero. Refinancing them in the current environment is a materially different exerciseโฆ not impossible, but significantly more expensive. Some assets can absorb that. Others cannot.
When an asset cannot support its refinance, ownership changes. Sometimes through a negotiated sale. Sometimes through a forced disposition. In either case, the result is real estate trading at prices that reflect today's reality, not 2021 projections.
For patient capital, investors who are not overextended, not chasing yield, and not depending on a near-term exit, this is a meaningful window.
The deals that will define the next five to seven years of real estate performance are largely being set up right now.
We are watching this closely, underwriting conservatively, and moving deliberately. That posture is not caution for its own sake. It is how you take advantage of a cycle like this without taking on someone else's problem.