05/15/2025
WHAT'S HAPPENING IN THE FLORIDA MARKET
1) National Trend: Home inventory has increased across the U.S. due to cooling buyer demand, resulting in rising vacancy rates.
2) Dayton, Ohio:
Stands out as a geographic outlier outside of Florida.
Has both high homeownership and high vacancy rates.
Many empty homes are less desirable to buyers, causing a mismatch.
Home prices rose significantly from $158,000 in 2019 to $236,000 in 2024, possibly deterring buyers.
3) Florida Cities Dominating Vacancy Increases:
Tampa, Clearwater, St. Petersburg: 2.9% vacancy by late 2024, up 1.8% from 2019.
Orlando: 3.3% vacancy, up 1.4%.
Cape Coral/Fort Myers: 1.7% vacancy, up 1.2%.
Miami: 2.6% vacancy, up 0.9%.
4) Contributing Factors in Florida:
High housing costs, rising insurance premiums, and shifting preferences reduced demand.
Inventory levels in Florida hit a peak in March 2025, with 177,000 homes for sale, a 15.7% increase from five years earlier.
Conclusion: While Florida cities are seeing rising vacancy rates due to oversupply and affordability issues, Dayton's challenges stem from an unattractive housing stock despite affordability.