08/10/2026
Straight from the Az MLS data
The 2021 comparison shows how different today’s conditions are. In July 2021, 63% of single-family homes sold over original list price because the market had the opposite conditions: very low rates, extremely limited inventory and buyers competing aggressively.
In part,
July 2026 list to sold price:
12% sold above original list price, with a median close price of $448,990.
About 40% of above-list sales were under $400,000, showing competition is still most visible in attainable price ranges.
Above list closings were most concentrated in Phoenix, followed by San Tan Valley, Surprise and Mesa.
14% sold at list, showing that accurate pricing can still hold when the property matches buyer expectations.