06/08/2026
๐ก ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐๐ป๐ฒ ๐ด, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ
๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐บ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐
Rates moved higher last week, with the biggest moves coming on Friday in reaction to much stronger than expected jobs data. The jobs report smashed expectations, with more than twice as many new jobs created as forecast. The strong labor market makes it even more likely that the Fed will raise its policy rate this year to fight inflation.
๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐น๐ฒ โ ๏ธ
After last week's early headlines that Iran could be pulling out of peace talks proved to be inaccurate, there was still no meaningful progress toward a deal. Rates will continue to move alongside oil prices, as well as be affected this week by both consumer and wholesale inflation reports and continued headlines coming out of the Middle East.
๐ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐โ๐ ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ:
โข The Middle East: Despite talks dragging on, mortgage rates are still likely to move along with headlines about any progress toward a deal that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping traffic.
โข Economic data: Inflation is bad for rates, pushing them higher, and we could see rates react to both consumer and wholesale inflation data this week if they show inflation continues to increase.
