09/01/2026
🏡 Wondering why mortgage rates don't always go down when the Fed cuts rates?
There's an interesting article in The New York Times today about what's happening in the bond market—and believe it or not, it has a lot to do with real estate.
Mortgage rates aren't set directly by the Federal Reserve. They are influenced heavily by the bond market, particularly the 10-year Treasury yield. And right now, those yields are being affected by everything from inflation and government debt to what's happening in economies around the world. 🌎
So what does that mean if you're thinking about buying or selling a home?
Mostly, it means don't try to perfectly time the housing market based on predictions about interest rates.
We've spent the last few years hearing that mortgage rates are supposed to come down. Sometimes they do—and then something completely unrelated to housing sends them in the other direction.
For buyers, the better question isn't necessarily, "Should I wait until rates come down?" It's "Does buying make sense for me at today's price and payment?"
And for sellers, buyers are still buying—they're simply paying much closer attention to value, condition and affordability.
🏠 Real estate has always been affected by interest rates, but it's also affected by jobs, inventory, local demand, home prices and what's happening in your own life.
Sometimes the best time to make a move isn't when the market is "perfect."
It's when the move makes sense for you.
And that's why I think understanding what's happening behind the headlines is much more useful than trying to predict the next one. 😊
Government yields are hitting multi-decade highs, reflecting anxiety about debt levels, deficits and inflation. The effects will extend to mortgages, business loans and other types of credit.