05/19/2026
Rising Treasury yields are becoming impossible to ignore — and the implications for commercial real estate are significant. As bond markets react to persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and higher energy prices, borrowing costs across the board are moving higher.
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For office occupiers, investors, and landlords, this environment reinforces the importance of strategic planning around financing, lease timing, and capital deployment. The days of inexpensive debt are clearly behind us for now, and volatility in the bond market could continue to pressure both acquisition activity and refinancing opportunities.
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In San Diego’s office market, well-capitalized tenants and owners will likely remain active, but underwriting assumptions and deal structures are evolving quickly. Watching the bond market may now be just as important as watching vacancy trends.
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Concerns surround inflation and the lack of progress in peace talks around the Iran war, although it's not a complete catastrophe yet.