10/04/2024
Mortgage rates at a national level have dropped significantly from 8.01% in October 2023 to 6.20% as of September 18, and this along with 🔥 🚀 equity markets have fueled life into San Francisco’s competitive housing market in 2024. Some may think that the Fed’s policy shift enacted on September 18th and expected additional 2024 rate cuts would make for even lower mortgage rates, but that is not true.
Mortgage rates tend to track longer term bond markets such as the 10-year treasury. Those
Markets, and by extension, mortgage rates, started pricing in the Fed’s 2024 actions in July, and had “baked the 🎂 ” with all 2024 rate cuts priced in ahead of the momentous September 18 rate reduction.
September 17 actually had the lowest mortgage rates of the entire year, and mortgage rates have actually edged higher in the 2 weeks following the Fed’s reduction due to fears of the government increasing spending and issuing new treasury bonds…requiring higher interest rates to compel buyers to purchase the excess supply. Increased yields on 10 year treasury notes have pushed the mortgage rates up higher.
2025 is also expected to bring further rate reductions from the Fed, but there is broad variability in the opinions of timing and extent of those fed funds rate reductions. See my latest newsletter to dig in deeper on everything mortgage rate related.
What is true is we have hit a shift in Fed strategy and the landscape is changing, and now could be the ideal time to review your real estate goals with an advisor and begin to solidify your roadmap of how best to get there. 📞✨
For more information check my website buttorfsf.com. Link in BIO!