01/19/2017
On the heels of a recent post, I thought it might be helpful to expand on this a bit. As you probably know, Seattle's housing market is nuts, many are feeling the burn and moving further out. So, what has happened in a couple outlying municipalities?
Shoreline and Maple Valley are both examples of areas that are attracting lots of buyers. They are more affordable, sure, but these are also places that have highly rated school districts, which is a valued feature of a property. There are other positive aspects, but let's dive into this.
Major Trendlines include:
1. Increasing year-over-year prices, of course
2. Decreasing time on market
3. Jumps in the volume of sold properties, to a higher degree, percentage-wise, than Seattle. Still, a reminder that it's not the Sold (demand) figures that are driving this market, but the lack of supply.
2017
I also included the YTD for all areas. This clearly is a substantially smaller sampling, as we're appx 5% of the way through the year.
Observations are:
A. Look at the 2017 YTD for Shoreline vs 2016, whoa
B. Signicantly higher times on market across these 4 market areas. This is primarily due to the holiday season, but also, there are buyers who are turning to homes that have been lingering on the market for opportunities to "get a deal" and be able to negotiate with a seller.
RATIOS:
This is, and has been, one of my favorite small sample market indicators over the last several years. Very simply, it compares the number of new listings to the amount that have gone into contract over a small period. This "cannibalization" of the market has continues to contribute to the shortening of supply pipeline, causing frenzied buyers to go over the top to secure their desired homes.
NOTE on the Ratios: while the trends for the areas on the left side of this picture strictly adhere to 2-4 beds/1-2 baths, and no condominiums, the ratios on the right side have no statistical requirements to be counted.