02/08/2023
In case you missed my 10 real estate market predictions newsletter. It’s right here 👆
My top 3 predictions for our Hampton Roads market 2023. 🏠🏠🏠
1️⃣ No housing bubble: This should NOT be a repeat of 2007/2008. We do not have the massive inventory, and we don’t have the sub-prime, adjustable rate, underqualified, mortgages that we had in 07/08.
2️⃣ Mortgage rates will drop…some - Rates in the 2’s and 3’s were great and likely they were, once in a lifetime low rates. The Fed will likely pull back and rates should stay in the 6’s for most of the year, maybe dropping into the 5’s in the fall. We don’t anticipate rates going up or down drastically this year.
3️⃣ More balanced market - more like 2015 - not a buyers’ market necessarily, because the inventory is so low. Most consider 6 months of inventory to be a balanced market. Meaning if nothing else came on the market, it would take 6 months to sell the inventory we have. Right now, inventory is still in the 1-2 month range.
💥💥💥This is the most important take away from this Newsletter. Real Estate should be a long-term asset. On average homes appreciate 3% per year nationally. Over the past couple of years, we’ve seen 10-15% appreciation. This was not sustainable. We will see the market normalizing, not free falling. Our market is nuanced and will vary by neighborhood. If you need to or want to move, call/text/email me. Let’s talk about your options. 💥💥💥
Our local market usually starts the Spring selling season, during the second week of March. If you are thinking about selling this year, I would encourage you to consider it in the March/April time frame while inventory is still making the buying process competitive.