Jeff Abram - Abram & Co. Real Estate - Powered by Fathom Realty

06/17/2026

Is he right or is he wrong, and is there something else that isn't helping the housing market?

🚨 Market Reality Check: It’s Not the Rates, It’s the Principal

The headlines are buzzing with the latest Federal Reserve announcement, and every "expert" is talking about when mortgage rates will finally drop. NAR’s Chief Economist, Dr. Lawrence Yun, pointed out that cooling inflation could soon cause mortgage rates to dip, regardless of what the Fed does with its short-term policy.

But let’s be honest about the real roadblock for buyers. Slightly lower interest rates won't fix an affordability crisis driven by historic home prices.

A 1% drop in mortgage rates makes a monthly payment look friendlier on paper, but it doesn't change the massive principal balance a buyer is taking on. In fact, when rates dip, it often just unleashes pent-up buyer demand, triggering bidding wars that drive home prices even higher. Until inventory builds enough to naturally cool down the baseline cost of a property, the affordability struggle is here to stay.

📉 The Ground Reality: Magic Valley Inventory is Bleeding Out

If you want proof that rates aren't the primary thing stopping the market, look right here at home. In the Magic Valley, we aren't seeing a market stalled by high interest rates—we are seeing a market starved for single-family inventory.

Across our five primary municipalities, the numbers paint a stark picture:

A "Critical Shortage" of Choices: We currently have a razor-thin pool of just 72 available homes across the entire region.

The Replacement Crisis: The market is moving at a healthy-to-hot clip, but inventory is being consumed far faster than it can be replaced. Our regional Inventory Replacement Score shows 2.89 buyers for every single new listing entering the market. Buyers are aggressively drawing down the existing baseline of choices.

The Buyer/Seller Disconnect: Because inventory is so restricted, many sellers are launching listings with bloated, ambitious luxury-tier asking prices. But buyers are flatly rejecting them.

🎯 The Bottom Line

Don't buy into the media narrative that everyone is waiting around for the Fed to cut rates. The transaction engine in the Magic Valley is firing heavily, but it is deeply fragmented by layout and price point.

06/17/2026

Sellers Just Took Total Leverage in Twin Falls 📈

The Magic Valley housing market just hit a floor, and sellers suddenly have all the leverage. Across the region, the inventory dynamics have flipped completely upside down: there are currently 114 homes under contract, while only 71 options remain left on the shelf. This massive deficit between active supply and hungry buyers means that the window for total market control has shifted squarely back into the hands of homeowners.

The Twin Falls and Jerome housing markets are experiencing an intense velocity squeeze at foundational price points. This analysis exposes how entry-level homes are literally disappearing in seven days or less. For property owners, this means the traditional friction of selling a home has completely vanished there are no months of staging, no endless open houses, and no sitting around hoping someone finally shows up to a viewing.

Under today's structural market constraints, speed is the ultimate truth teller. If your house sits on the market longer than 14 days, the market already gave you an answer you just haven't accepted it yet. Buyers are moving with extreme urgency to snap up localized inventory, making it critical for both sides of the transaction to drop broad macro assumptions, look directly at the real-time scoreboard, and execute immediately.

Jeff Abram | Abram & Co. Realty w/ Fathom Realty
Serving the Magic Valley & Twin Falls
www.abramtwinfalls.com

06/16/2026

Sellers Just Took Total Leverage in Twin Falls 📈

The Magic Valley housing market just hit a floor, and sellers suddenly have all the leverage. Across the region, the inventory dynamics have flipped completely upside down: there are currently 114 homes under contract, while only 71 options remain left on the shelf. This massive deficit between active supply and hungry buyers means that the window for total market control has shifted squarely back into the hands of homeowners.
The Twin Falls and Jerome housing markets are experiencing an intense velocity squeeze at foundational price points. This analysis exposes how entry-level homes are literally disappearing in seven days or less. For property owners, this means the traditional friction of selling a home has completely vanished there are no months of staging, no endless open houses, and no sitting around hoping someone finally shows up to a viewing.
Under today's structural market constraints, speed is the ultimate truth teller. If your house sits on the market longer than 14 days, the market already gave you an answer you just haven't accepted it yet. Buyers are moving with extreme urgency to snap up localized inventory, making it critical for both sides of the transaction to drop broad macro assumptions, look directly at the real-time scoreboard, and execute immediately.
Jeff Abram | Abram & Co. Realty w/ Fathom Realty
Serving the Magic Valley & Twin Falls
www.abramtwinfalls.com

06/16/2026

The Hidden Sign a Twin Falls Home Is Overpriced 🛑

Comment on your neighborhood belowre are only 56 active homes available to buy while 189 are already under contract, meaning more than three homes are spoken for every single one you can tour. If you want to know if a house is overpriced, you need to stop looking at the price tag. Theon actual price is a lagging indicator the real sign of a mispriced property is written entirely in its timeline.

The Magic Valley housing market operates on pure velocity, creating an environment where the market does the vetting for you. This analysis highlights that correct pricing vanishes almost immediately. For example, in affordability hotspots like Buhl, the good listings disappear in a mere three days. Demand is so dense that buyers don't hesitate; they strike the second value matches the math.

When interest rates place structural pressure on local family budgets, time becomes the ultimate truth-teller. The homes sitting on the shelf are usually telling you something that active buyers figured out weeks ago. Stagnancy isn't a fluke it's a conscious rejection by a market that brings calculators to the table instead of emotion. If a property is sitting, the crowd has already quietly voted "no".

Comment your neighborhood below

Jeff Abram | Abram & Co. Realty w/ Fathom Realty
Serving the Magic Valley & Twin Falls
www.abramtwinfalls.com

06/16/2026

Who Really Controls Twin Falls Real Estate? 👑

Across the Twin Falls area, there are only 56 active homes available to buy while 189 are already under contract, meaning more than three homes are spoken for every single one you can tour. But despite this tight inventory floor, there is a harsh psychological reality check happening right now: sellers don't decide what their home is worth. Buyers do.

The Twin Falls Housing Market has hit a strict boundary where over-optimistic pricing meets structural payment limitations. This analysis highlights the friction, proving that Twin Falls has already seen nearly 50 price cuts this quarter. That is the raw sound of the market forcing seller expectations back to a reality governed by interest rates rather than wishful thinking.

When financing costs squeeze a local family's monthly budget, buyers bring calculators to the closing table instead of emotion. They are actively drawing a line on premium configurations, letting overpriced properties sit. The longer a home sits on the shelf, the louder that message gets. If you want to successfully execute a sale in this environment, you have to drop macro averages, watch the real-time scoreboard, and let the buyers set the pace.

Comment your neighborhood below

Jeff Abram | Abram & Co. Realty w/ Fathom Realty
Serving the Magic Valley & Twin Falls
www.abramtwinfalls.com

. . .

06/16/2026

The Hidden Sign a Twin Falls Home Is Overpriced 🛑

Across the Twin Falls area, there are only 56 active homes available to buy while 189 are already under contract, meaning more than three homes are spoken for every single one you can tour. If you want to know if a house is overpriced, you need to stop looking at the price tag. The actual price is a lagging indicator—the real sign of a mispriced property is written entirely in its timeline.

The Magic Valley housing market operates on pure velocity, creating an environment where the market does the vetting for you. This analysis highlights that correct pricing vanishes almost immediately. For example, in affordability hotspots like Buhl, the good listings disappear in a mere three days. Demand is so dense that buyers don't hesitate; they strike the second value matches the math.

When interest rates place structural pressure on local family budgets, time becomes the ultimate truth-teller. The homes sitting on the shelf are usually telling you something that active buyers figured out weeks ago. Stagnancy isn't a fluke—it's a conscious rejection by a market that brings calculators to the table instead of emotion. If a property is sitting, the crowd has already quietly voted "no".

Comment your neighborhood below

Jeff Abram | Abram & Co. Realty w/ Fathom Realty
Serving the Magic Valley & Twin Falls
www.abramtwinfalls.com

06/11/2026

The Twin Falls housing market is a complete illusion right now. 🧊🔥

Relying on macro averages to make a move in the Magic Valley is a dangerous game. It’s the real estate equivalent of putting your feet in ice water and your head in an oven, then claiming you are perfectly comfortable.

Look under the surface and you’ll find a massive tug-of-war:

📉 Below $400k: Buyers are dealing with a brutal 5-to-1 demand ratio, completely vaporizing entry-level inventory in an average of just 24 days.

🛑 Above $500k: The market freezes entirely. Demand has pulled back, forcing higher-end regional sellers to slash prices 31 times in just the last 7 days alone.

If you are trying to navigate this landscape using yesterday's macro assumptions, your strategy is completely useless.

What are you seeing on your block right now? Ice water or the oven? Let’s talk in the comments. 👇

06/10/2026

Twin Falls is officially a split-screen housing market. 📊⚡

Looking at broad, city-wide real estate averages right now is a massive mistake. On the surface, the numbers look completely normal—but on the ground, the market is split right down the middle.

Under $400k? It's a total knife fight. Entry-level inventory is vanishing in a blistering 24 days.

But above $500k? The market has slammed straight into a concrete wall. Buyers have completely walked away, forcing regional sellers into a 31% price-cut scramble in less than a week.

If you are trying to navigate this landscape using yesterday's macro assumptions, your strategy is completely useless. Take the blinders off.

06/09/2026

Filer, Idaho is officially a real estate ghost town. 👻📉

Zero active listings. Zero new listings. The entire 83328 zip code is completely locked up. If you are looking for that classic small-town Idaho lifestyle under $400k right now, you are going to get completely ghosted if you keep looking in the same old spots.

The data shows you only have two real options left on the board if you want to stay near Twin Falls: You either pivot south toward Buhl, or you head straight north on Highway 93 up to Jerome.

Stop waiting for a miracle in a market with zero inventory. Pick your play, and make your move.

Buyers: Have you completely given up on finding a home in Filer, or are you looking at Buhl and Jerome instead? Drop your thoughts below. 👇

06/08/2026

Downtown Music!!

Only a few Weeks Until Concert Season Begins...
Here's the 2026 Schedule:
June 17th: Brett Reid and The Backbeats
June 24th: Cliff Miller Band
July 1st: The Noteables
July 8th: Mr A
July 15th: Coel Harris and The Valkories
July 22nd: Layne Bowen Band
July 29th: Heath Owens

https://twinfallstonight.com/?fbclid=IwY2xjawSUAwVleHRuA2FlbQIxMABicmlkETF1c1FPa25DSnVWenlrMTdsc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQQMjIyMDM5MTc4ODIwMDg5MgABHrlT6Mqr4MTW3QJEOnsG7aFdhjFCKaRw6mSQTF2Iacly8pPv7nBkpGD3-h8R_aem_uEE3_ZHPHwJjkus_BL9ICg

https://www.facebook.com/TwinFallsTonight

Join us for the next season of Twin Falls Tonight, a Summer Concert Series located in the heart of downtown Twin Falls, ID where you can enjoy great music from live bands, delicious food and drinks from local vendors, and just relax or maybe even dance the night away.