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09/27/2024

Other hurricanes that also made landfall n the US with pressure less than 940 millibars:

Ida
Laura
Michael
Irma
Harvey
Rita
Katrina
Andrew
Hugo
Carla
Camille
Hazel
Donna

Last reported pressure 937, yet another drop. Landfall in 30 mins when the center closes the shore, northern eyewall is ...
09/27/2024

Last reported pressure 937, yet another drop. Landfall in 30 mins when the center closes the shore, northern eyewall is now onshore. It is east of Tallahassee, which is better than west.

A crazy amount of lightning in the northern eye wall as Helene continues to show signs of strengthening as it approaches...
09/27/2024

A crazy amount of lightning in the northern eye wall as Helene continues to show signs of strengthening as it approaches the Florida coastline. Landfall around 10pm central.

Hurricane Helene is now racing toward Florida's Gulf Coast at 23 mph with winds of 125 mph and still strengthening. Hele...
09/26/2024

Hurricane Helene is now racing toward Florida's Gulf Coast at 23 mph with winds of 125 mph and still strengthening. Helene will be at least category 4 when it makes landfall south of Tallahassee. Due to the warm, wet soil conditions in this area, weakening will be slow at first.The fast forward motion will mean Hurricane force winds will spread tonight far north into Georgia, it will still be category 2 when it passes near Tifton Ga!
Atlanta will experience Hurricane conditions tomorrow. The Atlanta Airport will likely close for a while,.flighjts are already being cancelled. The Tampa Airport is already closed. Travel anywhere near Tallahassee up I75 through Georgia will be dangerous tonight and tomorrow.

Hurricane Helene is now category 3 status with maximum sustained sustained winds of 120 mph and still strengthening. Als...
09/26/2024

Hurricane Helene is now category 3 status with maximum sustained sustained winds of 120 mph and still strengthening.

Also Helene is a very large storm now with tropical storm force winds expected to extend nearly 540 miles from southwest to northeast at landfall. If this is correct, the winds field will likely be one of the largest on record.

Further strenthing is expected until landfall this evening around 10pm. Helene will be very close to, or even above category 4 minimum criteria.

Update on Hurricane Helene.Currently maximum sustained winds are 85 mphLocated 460 miles southwest of Tampa, Fl.Helene i...
09/25/2024

Update on Hurricane Helene.

Currently maximum sustained winds are 85 mph

Located 460 miles southwest of Tampa, Fl.

Helene is showing signs of rapidly strengthing and that will likely continue until landfall Thursday night.

Updated forecast track is adjusted westward a bit and intensity is adjusted upward. A category 4 hurricane is likely to strike the Florida panhandle tomorrow night. Damaging winds will quickly spread northward with widespread wind damage extending from the coast to Tallahassee area into southern Georgia such as Valdosta and Macon where Helene will still near be hurricane stength. The winds will continue to spread northward Friday where gusts up to 75 mph are possible as far north as Atlanta. Southeastern Alabama, as far north as Auburn, will see winds high enough for roof/tree and power line damage.

For central Alabama: gusty winds will spread northward Friday with heavy rain. The tornado threat will remain to our east.

Drier, cooler air will rotate into Alabama beginning on Saturday into Sunday. There may be a few showers in places like Huntsville and Florence, but most of the rain qill be to our north and east this weekend.

Heavy rain will likely set up across east Tennessee and northern Georgia, west South Carolina. Flooding will be likely there as the tropical rain bands encounter upsloping from the Appalachians enhancing the already prolific rain rates. Life threatening flash flooding cannot be ruled out.

If you have travel plans:
Dangerous conditions will be limited to areas east of Destin Florida.
Some islands may still purposely cut off power and water so check on infrastructure before heading south. Try to avoid I-10 completely between Destin and Jacksonville-some sections will likely be closed. Also, avoid I-75 all of Georgia to Gainesville Fl from Thursday evening until Sunday.
Landfall will cause a storm surge up to 20 feet south and east of Tallahassee, Fl along the coast.
This will be a widespread high-impact event. Some areas will be without power at least a week, possibly longer, especially near the coast where some roads and the power grid will be mostly a loss.

Tropical Storm Helene is gaining strength tonight. In fact, a period of rapid intensification is looking likely as it cr...
09/25/2024

Tropical Storm Helene is gaining strength tonight. In fact, a period of rapid intensification is looking likely as it crosses into the Gulf of Mexico tomorrow. The Gulf of Mexico waters are extremely warm. Helen may become a category 4 hurricane as it approaches the panhandle tomorrow night. Also, Helene will begin to move faster as it approaches the coast. This means hurricane force winds will spread further inland before it weakens. Anyone in the Florida panhandle, east of Panama City through Big Bend area can expect a life threatening storm surge and widespread damaging winds. These winds will quickly spread northward into southern Georgia.

Anyone with travel plans these to any of these coastline communities as well as Tallahassee should reconsider. Helene's strength could be close to that of Michael (category 5), but the track appears to further east by about 90 miles.

Tropical Storm Helen is quickly gaining strength. A major hurricane is expected to strike the Gulf coast Thursday with h...
09/24/2024

Tropical Storm Helen is quickly gaining strength. A major hurricane is expected to strike the Gulf coast Thursday with highest impacts in the Florida panhandle. Due to the storm's fast movement, wind damage is likely to spread far inland into Georgia and Southeast Alabama.

Tropical Depression  #9 has formed in the Carribean Sea. It is expected to become a major hurricane as it moves north in...
09/23/2024

Tropical Depression #9 has formed in the Carribean Sea. It is expected to become a major hurricane as it moves north into the Gulf of Mexico and approach the Florida's Gulf Coast by Thursday.. Forecast models agree the likely areas of impact will be from the Big Bend area to Pensacola, keeping the worst east of Alabama's coastline. However, this could change, but if correct, most of the rain and wind will be limited to southeastern areas of the state. I'll be watching for any shifts to the west, but for now it appears Florida and Georgia will get the worst.

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