12/15/2023
💥 Market activity 💥 With forecasted reduction in interest rates, and already such an inventory deficit, buyers it’s your time to shine! Get in there and shop now while sellers are negotiable, refi when interest rates drop! It’s all about strategy in this tight market! Sellers are selling because they have to, in most cases, not just because they want to.
Thanks to Megan Aller for the info below!
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Market Activity
- Average daily active count declined by -3.7%, totaling 6,065 listings for sale.
- New listings decreased by -12.2% week over week, but increased by 0.7% compared to the previous year.
- Pending transactions rose by 1.1%, with 638 listings going under contract.
Odds of Selling
- Odds of Selling decreased to 41.5%, indicating a lower likelihood of properties selling within 30 days.
- Historically, December's average Odds of Selling from 2013-2019 was 49.8%, presenting a current trend below this average.
Supply and Demand
- To achieve a balanced market with a 6-month supply of inventory, we'd need 16,652 total listings, currently at 36.4% of balance.
Showing and Contract Trends
- 8,498 showings occurred last week, averaging 1.4 shows per property.
- On average, it took 13 showings to go under contract within a median of 36 days.
Price Dynamics
- Price reductions decreased to 51.2%, with a larger reduction size of -6.3% off the original price.
Looking Ahead to Wrap up 2023
- Anticipate motivated sellers in 2023, creating a potential opportunity for buyers to negotiate with sellers who must sell, not just want to sell.
Year-End Trends
- As the year concludes, expect a rise in withdrawn and expired units, contributing to inventory reduction for the upcoming first quarter.