10/08/2026
The Bank of Canada might raise rates on October 28. Here’s what that actually changes for buyers.
📌 The policy rate is 2.25% today. Inflation is running about 3%, mostly because of gas.
📌 Nothing’s decided yet. The Bank has just said it’s keeping a hike on the table.
📌 Ask “who can still buy?” instead of “will prices drop?” A higher rate means a higher payment on the same house, and buyers who were already stretched get pushed to the sidelines for now.
📌 Bank of Canada research found that a full 1-point rise lowers home prices about 5% a year later, on average. On a Hamilton–Burlington benchmark home, that’s roughly $36,000. A small hike means a much smaller effect.
📌 The same research found rents tend to rise as more people compete for rentals.
So a hike doesn’t mean a crash. The market quietly re-sorts itself out.
Save this for October 28, and send it to someone who’s trying to time their purchase.