09/10/2026
GTA Market Update: Inventory Is the Number to Watch
The GTA housing market saw fewer properties coming up for sale in August, with new listings dropping considerably compared to the same time last year. Sales were also slightly lower, as buyers in certain areas had fewer homes to choose from.
August recorded 5,057 home sales, a 2.1% decrease from August 2025. The more notable change, however, was in new inventory. New listings fell 14.1% to 12,075, showing that the supply of homes entering the market is tightening.
Although GTA home prices remain below the highs we saw a few years ago, this reduction in inventory is worth watching. If the number of homes coming to market continues to decline while buyer activity strengthens, we could start seeing increased competition — and potentially more upward pressure on prices as we move through the fall and winter.
The average selling price in August was $993,410, down 2.7% year-over-year. Month-over-month, however, the average price moved slightly higher.
That’s an important part of the story. Prices are still lower compared with last year, but they are no longer declining at the pace we saw earlier in 2026 — while available inventory is also tightening. If both trends continue, we may be moving closer to a shift in market conditions.
For buyers, the decision becomes whether to wait for greater economic certainty or take advantage of today’s pricing before competition potentially increases.
For sellers, improving conditions may encourage more homeowners to bring their properties to market. More listings would, in turn, give buyers greater choice and help maintain a healthier balance.
Heading into the fall, inventory will be one of the key numbers to watch. If listings stay considerably below last year’s levels while sales begin to strengthen, the balance between buyers and sellers could change relatively quickly.
Every neighbourhood and property type moves differently. If you’d like to understand what these numbers mean for your specific area or real estate plans, feel free to reach out — I’m always happy to help.