10/08/2026
Milton house prices are down 41% from their 2022 peak. Oakville, right next door, is down 28%.
Same border. Very different ride.
I pulled the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board numbers for 15 Greater Toronto Area markets. The graph shows how far each one fell below its 2022 high. Across the GTA, it's 34%.
If you're buying, don't pop the ch*****ne yet. Mortgage rates are roughly double what they were in early 2022, so an $800,000 mortgage costs about $1,370 more a month. Measured by the monthly payment, the real discount is closer to 10% than 34%.
Where do you think your suburb landed? Find it on the graph.
Full breakdown on my blog. Link is in the first comment.